Skip to content
Categories MLB

MLB Expert Picks & Predictions Today for Saturday, July 27

Updated July 28, 2024 | 8:04 am CDT by Isaiah Sirois

Although the start of the Olympics is exciting — especially for the sports betting opportunities on basketball — let’s not allow that to distract us from the MLB. Today’s slate offers up plenty of action (and high-value spots for bettors to exploit). Let’s dive into our MLB +EV betting guide to find sharp plays on your own!

If you tail one of the below picks, you can win $25 to use a sportsbook of your choice — click here to enter!

MLB Expert Picks & Predictions for Saturday, July 27

React App

MLB Expert Picks & Predictions for Saturday, July 27

Check out our expert picks page for all of today’s free plays — or subscribe to OddsShopper for every pick!

BetMGM, which you can bump up to +152 with the 33% boost they’re offering today. 

Abrams is in a great spot here. Gibson predominantly throws sinkers, cutters, 4-seamers and changeups to lefty hitters. So, let’s take a quick look at how Abrams has performed against those pitches this season:

  • Sinkers: 10 Run Value, .450 AVG, .650 SLG, 36.7 Hard-Hit%
  • Cutters: 5 Run Value, .368 AVG, .895 SLG, 64.7 Hard-Hit %
  • 4-Seamers: 10 Run Value, .292 AVG, .604 SLG, 42.5 Hard-Hit%
  • Changeups: 2 Run Value, .217 AVG, .348 SLG, 42.1 Hard-Hit%

It’s safe to say that Abrams is more than capable of handling whatever pitch Gibson decides to throw him. In a very limited sample size, Abrams is 4-for-8 with one double against Gibson, so he’s already shown the ability to have success in the past. 

I never put all my eggs in the small-sample basket, but what I’m more prone to do is place them in Baseball Savant’s expected statistics basket. That’s where Gibson ranks 17th among all pitchers in baseball in of greatest difference in expected ERA (4.81) and actual ERA (3.99). Meaning, there is some regression coming for the dusty right-hander in St. Louis. 

I feel quite confident that the Nats’ superstar will get it done for us tonight. I wouldn’t even mind a sprinkle on his home run prop at +630 at FanDuel Sportsbook. 

MLB Expert Pick & Prediction Today: CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases +110 at BetMGM bonus code!

@is_sirois – Player Prop – Luis Arraez O/U 1.5 TB: Few batters in baseball are better for us on the total base market than base-hit merchant Luis Arraez. He gives us two ways to cash this prop — an extra-base hit or multiple base hits, both of which are well within his wheelhouse.

Arraez’s .321 xBA (99th percentile) and .411 xSLG (50th) — along with his 3.8% walk rate (5th) and 5.4 strikeout rate (100th) — all suggest he’ll put the ball in play multiple times per game. The matchup against RHP Dean Kremer is just icing on the cake for us.

Kremer isn’t the best pitcher for batter props, as he sports a .259 xBA (27th) and 9.5% walk rate (31st), but he makes up for it when we look at his splits. LHBs are slashing .221/.318/.481 against him with 14 extra-base hits. Arraez is slashing .322/.350/.405 against RHPs like Kremer to boot.

We’re getting Arraez at +110 on BetMGM to tally multiple bases, which is a nice value for this prop. Arraez is averaging 1.7 total bases per game this season. That improves to two when he plays on the road. Look for him to get the job done against Kremer or Baltimore’s bullpen.

MLB Expert Pick & Prediction Today: Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Total Bases +110 at BetMGM bonus code!

React App

OddsShopper’s Featured Video Today

Categories MLB
NRFI Bets Today: Best No Run First Inning Picks for Friday, July 26
MLB Player Props & Home Run Picks Today for Saturday, July 27
Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

Next Story

EVEN MORE Stories of Bankroll Building with Portfolio EV — Plus 50% Off Your Next Month!

Trending & Related

MLB Home Run Pick Today for April 22: Let’s Go Off the Beaten Bath for a Bomb…

NRFI Bets Today: Best No Run First Inning Picks for Tuesday, April 22

MLB Home Run Pick Today for April 20: Special Giveaway Tomorrow If We Get This Tater …

Betting 101

What is Portfolio EV? Guide to +EV Sports Betting

Positive Expected Value Explained: How to Find Positive EV Edges in Sports Betting

Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning

Sports Betting Software Showdown: Which Tool Is Right for You?

Sports Betting Resources

  • Positive EV NFL Bets
  • Expert NFL Picks
  • Live NBA Odds
  • Positive EV NBA Bets
  • Expert NBA Picks
  • Live NFL Odds
  • NFL Parlay Calculator
  • Positive EV MLB Bets
  • Expert MLB Picks
  • Positive EV College Football Bets
  • Expert College Football Picks

Featured Articles

EVEN MORE Stories of Bankroll Building with Portfolio EV — Plus 50% Off Your Next Month!
June 2, 2025 3:10 pm | Sam Smith
How Bettors Used Portfolio EV to Beat the Books in May
June 1, 2025 12:56 pm | Sam Smith
Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning
May 20, 2025 2:17 pm | Dave Loughran
What is Dinger Tuesday? How to Beat FanDuel’s Promotion
May 20, 2025 2:10 pm | Isaiah Sirois
How Portfolio EV Built My NBA Bankroll from $100 to $1,200
May 16, 2025 7:11 am | Greg Ehrenberg
You Don’t Need to Be a Genius to Beat the Books — Just the Right Tools
April 26, 2025 8:15 am | Dave Loughran

Related Articles

MLB Betting Strategy: 5 Tips for Winning on MLB Betting Sites
June 5, 2025 1:56 pm | Dave Loughran
MLB Home Run Betting Strategy: How to Profit on Home Run Bets
June 5, 2025 11:52 am | Isaiah Sirois
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Predictions Today: Pablo Lopez (June 3)
June 3, 2025 12:25 pm | Danny Burke
FREE First MLB Portfolio on Portfolio EV: A Step-by-Step Guide
May 29, 2025 11:56 am | Sam Smith
MLB Betting: What are NRFI & YRFI Bets? First Inning Bets Explained
April 23, 2025 7:25 am | Justin Martin
How to Bet on MLB Strikeout Props: Strategy & Expert Advice
April 23, 2025 7:25 am | Isaiah Sirois

Fanatics Sportsbook Legal States
June 9, 2025 9:08 am
Best Sleeper Promo Code Today
June 7, 2025 6:42 am
Best Underdog Promo Code Today
June 7, 2025 6:42 am
Best ParlayPlay Promo Code Today
June 7, 2025 6:42 am
How Do I Make Money Sports Betting? Portfolio EV, Of Course
June 6, 2025 11:00 am
MLB Betting Strategy: 5 Tips for Winning on MLB Betting Sites
June 5, 2025 1:56 pm
What is Portfolio EV? Guide to +EV Sports Betting
June 5, 2025 11:54 am
MLB Home Run Betting Strategy: How to Profit on Home Run Bets
June 5, 2025 11:52 am
Get a 7-DAY FREE TRIAL Of Portfolio EV Today!
June 5, 2025 11:50 am
Positive Expected Value Explained: How to Find Positive EV Edges in Sports Betting
June 5, 2025 11:45 am

How Can I Find the Best Sports Betting and DFS App Bonuses?

If you're a new sports bettor, it's hard to know where to start. In fact, it's simpler than it seems, because there are use OddsShopper's Free Bet Converter to maximize your beginning bankroll

Get a bonus code for BetMGM

Get a promo code Caesars Sportsbook

Best DraftKings Promo Code

Get a promo code for DraftKings

Use a promo code for FanDuel

Claim a promo code for PrizePicks

Get a promo code for UnderDog

the ranks of the OddsShopper Hall of Fame

  • Free Expert Picks

    • Free NBA Picks
    • Free MLB Picks
    • Free NFL Picks
    • Free NHL Picks
    • Free NCAAB Picks
    • Free NCAAF Picks
    • Free Golf Picks
    • Free UFC Picks
    • Free EPL Picks
    • Free Tennis Picks
    • Free WNBA Picks
  • Positive EV Bets

    • Positive EV NBA Bets
    • Positive EV MLB Bets
    • Positive EV NFL Bets
    • Positive EV NHL Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAB Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAF Bets
    • Positive EV Golf Bets
    • Positive EV UFC Bets
    • Positive EV EPL Bets
    • Positive EV Tennis Bets
    • Positive EV WNBA Bets
  • Betting Tools

    • Arbitrage Opportunities
    • Parlay Builder
    • PrizePicks Entry Builder
    • Underdog Entry Builder
    • Sleeper Entry Builder
    • Free Bet Converter
  • Articles

    • All Articles
    • NBA Articles
    • NFL Articles
    • NCAAF Articles
    • MLB Articles
    • PGA Articles
    • NHL Articles
    • NASCAR Articles
    • MMA Articles
  • Betting Calculators

    • Expected Value Calculator
    • Hold Calculator
    • Parlay Calculator
    • Odds Converter
  • Live Odds

    • Live NBA Odds
    • Live MLB Odds
    • Live NFL Odds
    • Live NHL Odds
    • Live NCAAB Odds
    • Live NCAAF Odds
    • Live Golf Odds
    • Live UFC Odds
    • Live EPL Odds
    • Live Tennis Odds
  • Sportsbook Promo Codes

    • BetMGM Bonus Codes
    • Bet365 Bonus Codes
    • FanDuel Promo Codes
    • DraftKings Promo Codes
    • Caesars Promo Codes
    • BetRivers Promo Codes
    • Sleeper Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Underdog Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Betr Picks Promo Codes

    • Us
    • of Use
    • Stokastic
OddsShopper Logo
© 2024 Stokastic.All Rights reserved.
This site contains commercial content, We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. OddsShopper makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.