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Best PrizePicks NBA Player Predictions: Less is More for Victor Wembanyama (November 2)

Updated November 2, 2023 | 2:14 pm CDT by Tim Speros

Last night we smashed the Chet Holmgren and Ausar Thompson picks! Ben Simmons fell short due to foul trouble but we still profited. Let’s do it again today. We have a smaller 4-game NBA slate tonight with a doubleheader on NBA TV. The Raptors will visit the new-look 76ers, while Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs play the Suns in a rematch of their nail-biter on Halloween night. Picking the right props can be a tough task but with the help of Stokastic’s NBA Pick’Em Pro tool and some diligent research, we have you covered. Let’s get to the best PrizePicks NBA picks and player props for tonight.

PrizePicks NBA Player Predictions | Nov. 2

Tyrese Maxey M/L 24.5 Points

Tyrese Maxey has been on a roll in his third season and is now the favorite to win the Most Improved Player award with James Harden out of town. Maxey ranks seventh in the NBA in scoring at 30.3 points per game and third in minutes per game at 38.5.

However, tonight’s game is not a good matchup. The Toronto Raptors allow just 39.8 points to the guard position, fewest in the NBA. The Raptors rank ninth in opponent field goal percentage and allow the fewest 3’s to guards. Kelly Oubre is going to start tonight in place of P.J. Tucker, who is now with the Clippers. With the projected starters for tonight, Maxey’s usage rate takes a slight dip alongside Oubre and Joel Embiid.

With a low total of 215.5, some operators have Maxey’s points prop at 23.5. We have Maxey projected for 19 points tonight, and going with less has a 64% win rate.

Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Tyrese Maxey Less Than 24.5 Points

Victor Wembanyama M/L 1.5 3-Pointers Made

Rookie sensation Victor Wembanyama has wowed everyone with his combination of size and skill so far but his 3-point shot is nothing to go crazy over. Our Pick’Em Pro tool has Wembanyama projected for 0.8 3-pointers, and going lower than his 1.5 prop gives us a 66% win rate, the highest rated ROI for today.

Here’s why it’s a good play: The Phoenix Suns rank fifth in opponent 3-point makes and second in opponent 3-point percentage (28.1%). Wembanyama is just 5-for-19 on the season shooting threes (26%).

Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Victor Wembanyama Less Than 1.5 3-Pointers Made

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C.J. McCollum M/L 22.5 Points

C.J. McCollum smashed last game by scoring 29 points on 58% shooting, including five three-pointers. One of the reasons is that Brandon Ingram sat out due to injury. Ingram is currently listed as questionable but hopeful to play. With Ingram on the floor, McCollum’s usage rate drops from 24.5% to 19.5%. So if Ingram does play, even more reason to go lower on this one.

Let’s go a little deeper though since Ingram could sit out again. McCollum is averaging 21.0 points per game with a bulk of those coming from behind the arch (3.8 3’s). However, the Detroit Pistons allow the fewest 3-point attempts per game at just 25.4 and allow the second-fewest 3’s at just 9.2 per game. Detroit is top in both opponent field goal percentage and opponent points per game.

Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: C.J. McCollum Less Than 22.5 Points

Two-pick power plays and five-pick flex plays have the most expected value. If you’re looking for more picks, check out our PrizePicks Optimizer.

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Tim Speros

Author

Tim Speros

Tim Speros is a sports betting analyst and a distinguished DFS writer for OddsShopper and Stokastic. With over 15 years of experience in the sports industry, Tim has a ion for educating and entertaining others through sports. Before ing our team, Tim worked in player development for the NBA league office, served as an NBA statistician for the Golden State Warriors, and contributed to various fantasy sports content providers. Tim holds a bachelor’s degree from Boston College and a Master’s in Sports Management from Georgetown. When he’s not chasing his three kids around, he enjoys chasing the 30x flex plays on PrizePicks.

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