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NFL Week 17 Betting Model Predictions (December 31)

Updated December 31, 2023 | 7:26 am CDT by Greg Ehrenberg

Heading into NFL Week 17, OddsShopper is showing a bunch of value on player props for Sunday’s games. I am going to highlight a couple in this article, but there are dozens of great bets available in the betting model if you are looking to grow your bankroll this weekend. Let’s get to the best NFL Week 17 betting model predictions.

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NFL Week 17 Betting Model Predictions | December 31

Before we get into my Week 17 picks below, check out my results so far in 2023 across a number of different markets using OddsShopper ’s betting model picks and other tools. If you want to see a similar uptick in your betting wins, now is a great time to get in!

At OddsShopper, you get access to real-time fantasy projections, customizable fantasy optimizers, optimal bankroll advice, +EV bets and more. We even have parlay builders for +EV parlays and a bet conversion tool, among a host of other features.

Jonathan Taylor O/U 12.5 Receiving Yards

With Zack Moss ruled out for another game, Taylor is in line for a big workload. Moss missed last week, and Taylor handled 18 of the 21 rushing attempts by Colts running backs.

We could see Taylor hit the over on this prop on just one reception, and this is one of the top EV bets of the weekend in OddsShopper. The fair projected line on over 12.5 is -125, which makes this bet playable on nearly every book.

NFL Week 17 Betting Model Prediction: Jonathan Taylor Over 12.5 Receiving Yards (-107) at BetRivers

Saquon Barkley O/U 2.5 Receptions

Tyrod Taylor is back in at quarterback for the Giants. He took over for Tommy DeVito in the Giants’ loss to the Eagles last weekend but sparked the offense in an almost miracle comeback. This is good news for Barkley.

In the two previous games Taylor started, Barkley drew nine targets. Look for Taylor to target Barkley frequently again, and OddsShopper projects this bet to win over 60% of the time.

NFL Week 17 Betting Model Prediction: Saquon Barkley Over 2.5 Receptions (-146) at FanDuel

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