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Best Marlins-Padres MLB Player Prop: Padres Offense Strikes Jesus Luzardo (August 22)

August 22, 2023 | 8:42 AM by Justin Martin

Jesus Luzardo was pitching like one of the best arms in the National League in June and July, then August arrived. Check out our top MLB player prop bet for Marlins-Padres.

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Best MLB Player Prop Bet: Jesus Luzardo | August 22

Jesus Luzardo O/U 4.5 Hits Allowed

Not only has the Miami Marlins season spiraled out of control but so has Jesus Luzardo’s. Luzardo was regarded as one of the best-starting pitchers in July with a 2.89 ERA in five starts. He allowed just 10 runs and averaged 1.25 strikeouts per inning. Well, it’s been a complete 180 for Luzardo and the Marlins. In August, Luzardo has an 11.68 ERA in three starts and is allowing his opponents to hit for an average of .397. Like Luzardo, the Marlins are in deep trouble. They find themselves out of the playoff picture at the moment and now have to deal with the San Diego Padres tonight who have crushed lefties lately.

Last night, the Marlins started fellow left-handed pitcher Ryan Weathers. It was a quick outing for Weathers to say the least. He pitched into the fourth inning, allowed five hits, and walked five more batters. The familiarity with seeing a LHP last night is huge for San Diego who is hitting for the sixth-best batting average in August and a top-10 slugging rate. 

The top five of the order for the Padres is lethal, especially against LHP. Ha-Seong Kim, Juan Soto, Manny Machado, and Xander Bogaerts are all hitting above .300 since the All-Star break and have given pitchers fits. DraftKings, Caesars, and BetMGM all have Luzardo projected to pitch into the sixth inning which should be more than enough to cash this MLB player prop bet which has cashed in nine of Luzardo’s 10 road starts this season.

Best Marlins-Padres MLB Player Prop Bet: Jesus Luzardo Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (-135, BetMGM)

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Justin Martin

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Justin Martin

NBA, NFL, & MLB Player Prop Analyst. Twitter: JutPicks

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